Climate change, rapid changes, our current models
Wild Card's progress: advanced
This Wild Card came from:
Interviews
The source of this Wild Card:
Joe RAVETZ, University of Manchester, Interviewed by MIoIR
Likelihood timeframe and scenario features :
now-2050
Wild Card's description
Low probability events often appear to be extremely likely, because they keep happening. So, for example, a large part of the Arctic ice breaks off and sea levels rise, maybe there is a drought and a severe heatwave that jeopardises food supply in Europe, or some combination of those things. Then it is wild not because we did not think of it, but because it is contributing to a situation which is already under stress. The world may be in a bad way politically, economically and socially, etc.
