Warning: Creating default object from empty value in /data/web/virtuals/47278/virtual/www/domains/iknowfutures.org/community/community.iknowfutures.com/engine/lib/elgglib.php on line 1454
iKnow Community: Quantitative Analysis of Technology Futures. Part I: Techniques, Contexts, and Organizations

Uploaded by Rafael Popper 3962 days ago   Year of publication: 2013   Number of pages: 64   File's language: English   Views: 5603

As a gentle introduction to quantitative foresight techniques we begin by providing a working definition of Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) and discussing its role, uses, and popularity over recent decades. We select 22 FTA techniques identified as the most important quantitative FTA techniques. We introduce these techniques, discuss their main contexts and uses and classify them into groups with common characteristics, positioning them along four key dimensions: descriptive/prescriptive; extrapolative/normative; data gathering/inference; and forecasting/foresight.

Tommaso Ciarli,  Alex Coad,  Ismael Rafols
Share and Embed
Share with Facebook friendsShare to TwitterShare to linkedinStumble ItShare it in myspaceEmail ThisMore...