Issue (WIWE) status: Submitted, Unpublished

Wild Card's progress: Advanced

This Wild Card came from: 
Interviews

The source of this Wild Card: 
David Alexander , "CESPRO", Interviewed by MIoIR. And Nature (2012) - http://www.nature.com/news/researchers-monitor-volcanic-activity-at-santorini-1.11043

Likelihood timeframe and scenario features : 
now-2050

Wild Card's description: 

According to Nature (2012), "the largest submerged caldera in the world, Santorini last erupted in 1950 and had been relatively quiet until early 2011, when small earthquakes started to rattle the islands. The region remained fitful throughout 2011, and measurements using the Global Positioning System (GPS) revealed that the eastern and western edges of the caldera had spread apart by 14 centimetres between January 2011 and January this year. Although the earthquake activity died down early in 2012, the sudden changes have left researchers unsure whether the volcano is resuming its slumber or preparing for a future blast."