Wild Cards – Preparing for the Unpredictable Karlheinz Steinmüller Z_punkt The Foresight Company, Berlin/Germany   Wild Cards in the Framework of Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning In recent years, risk assessment and horizon scanning have gained increasing relevance for decision makers. This is not accidental. In a closely connected, utterly complex, globalized world, unpredictable change has become a constant phenomenon. Innovations drive economic development, they create opportunities and risks for economies, societies and the natural environment, and in most cases their impacts are at best uncertain. It may even be argued that all spheres of life are accelerated due to unceasing technological and social innovations. Under these conditions, conventional w... full article